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Saudi Arabia and Yemen |
by Ahmed Souaiaia
During the early days of the so-called Arab Spring, nervous
for their own continued rule, the rulers of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), led by the King of Saudi Arabia,
proposed the expansion of the GCC to include Jordan and Morocco—but not Yemen.
Yemen shares borders with two GCC member states yet it was excluded from this
club of rich Arab countries. Yemen is not a good candidate because, despite
poverty and political corruption, its people actually have a genuine desire to
move towards representative governance. That is a non-starter for the Guff
States. They prefer countries with similar governing tradition: exclusive family or clan
rule and no prospects for democratic rule. That is why Jordan and Morocco were
good candidates but not Yemen.
Now that the Houthis are controlling half the country, the
rulers of Saudi Arabia and its proxies decided to preserve their control over the
other half. To do so, they helped a former interim president, Abd Rabbuh Mansur Hadi, escape
to the southern city of Yemen, Aden, and moved their embassies out of the capital Sana`a.
Today, Hadi declared Sana`a “occupied capital”.
The Gulf States are playing a dangerous game similar to the
one they played in Syria. They are likely to use proxy groups, mostly salafi
fighters, as a counterweight to the Houthis. Should they do that, and should
these ISIL-like fighters become strong enough, such groups will not just attack
Sana`a, they will claim Riyadh as they march north to meet their allies who
would be marching south from Iraq and Syria.
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