
Who is the Syrian Opposition?
Wednesday, October 31, 2012
by Ahmed E. Souaiaia*
Since the start of the uprising in Syria, countries
supporting the opposition groups wanted to unify them. They organized a series
of the so-called “Friends of Syria” conferences one after another only to
adjourn without realizing their objective. In most cases, the meetings created
more discord than opportunities for unity.
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The unrealized Eid Ceasefire (hudna; quiet) proposed
by the new UN envoy, Lakhdar Brahimi, exposed the level of disunion among the
armed groups as well. Although the government, the Syrian National Council
(SNC), and the Free Syrian Army (FSA) all agreed to the four-day quiet,
violence during the religious holiday continued unabated and it may have gotten
worse. The FSA attacks on Kurdish neighborhoods in Aleppo during the same period, for
example, added another dimension to the conflict and offered a preview of what
may happen in the future.
The failure to honor the ceasefire and the attacks
on Kurdish neighborhoods add credibility to Brahimi’s pessimistic assessment of
the crisis in Syria. He has been reminding leaders of every country he’s visited
of the gravity of the situation and warning them that it will get worse unless
the world community act in a constructive way. That is not lowering
expectations; it is statement of facts. While defections of high ranking
officers stopped, signaling the purging of the Syrian military from unreliable
elements, the opposition forces are outgrowing there leadership frame. Instead
of coalescing into a single block with a single agenda, the political and
military oppositions continued to splinter into disparate organizations each of
which claims that it represents the Syrian people.