
Will Russia react to Idlib's incident the same way the U.S. reacted to Fallujah's?
Tuesday, August 02, 2016
The Fallujah incident, Americans killed, dragged in the
streets, and charred bodies hand on a bridge was shocking. But being under
shock from seeing the grisly images is not the proper state of mind for launching
a military operation. Yet, that is exactly what President Bush and his
Secretary of Defense did when they ordered operation Vigilant Resolve.
Russia does not have 150,000 troops on the ground, but it
has the power to bomb every town and city under the control of al-Nusra and increase its assistance to the Syrian army.
Two days after the
incident, Russian leaders did not indicate that they will seek revenge and
launch new operations, though they are likely to increase the level of support to
the Syrian government.
Moreover, al-Nusra, now re-branded as Jabhat Fath al-Sham, the group that controls the area where the plane was shot down, has enjoyed protection and support
from Turkey. With Erdogan scheduled to meet Putin next week, Russia does not
see the need to take actions, it may use the incident to force Erdogan to drop his support to al-Nusra and its allies in Jaysh al-Fath and actually start fighting terrorism.
The same way Fallujah changed the direction of the war in
Iraq, Idlib, too, will change the direction of the war in Syria.